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CME Analysis Information (for CME activity ID: 2025-10-12T14:53:00-CME-001)
Measurement Creation Time:
Catalog: M2M_CATALOG
Data Level: 0 (0=real-time, 1=real-time and checked by supervising forecaster, 2=retrospective science level data analysis)
Use as primary measurement: true
Measurement Technique: SWPC_CAT
Detecting Instruments:
STEREO A: SECCHI/COR2
Image Type: running difference
Speed (km/s): 409.0
Speed measured at height (Rs): None Entered
Type: S
Direction (LON/LAT in HEEQ): 10.0/ 12.0
Half Angular Width (degree): 23.0
Minor Half-width (degree): None Entered
Tilt (degree): None Entered
Time@21.5: 2025-10-12T22:28Z
Info/Session URL: None Entered
Note: 
Very uncertain one-coronagraph (STEREO A COR2) analysis of this CME based on the flare in AR 4246 as the (rather speculative) source of this CME. Because the front is not detectable in SOHO LASCO and GOES CCOR-1 imagery and the CME overlaps with two other CMEs, and due to the fact that the flare is accompanied by a very complex-shape dimming this analysis is very approximate.
Measurement Feature Code(s):
LE: Leading Edge
General Keyword(s):
Version 1 submitted on 2025-10-12T22:19Z by Anna Chulaki
A Notification with ID 20251013-AL-001 was sent on 2025-10-13T00:38Z

The List of WSA-ENLIL Results:
Model Name Model Completion Time AU CME Input(s) Predicted Earth Impact Predicted Other Location(s) Impact
WSA-ENLIL+Cone 2025-10-12T22:50Z 2.0
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-10-15T12:30Z (Minor Impact)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=6
 OSIRIS-APEX = 2025-10-15T08:38Z
Solar Orbiter = 2025-10-14T09:54Z
STEREO A = 2025-10-16T00:00Z
WSA-ENLIL+Cone 2025-10-12T23:12Z 2.0
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-10-15T14:22Z
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 9.1
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.9
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=6
 OSIRIS-APEX = 2025-10-15T08:23Z
Solar Orbiter = 2025-10-14T09:04Z
STEREO A = 2025-10-16T00:00Z
WSA-ENLIL+Cone 2025-10-14T16:26Z 2.0
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-10-16T12:00Z (Minor Impact)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=5
 OSIRIS-APEX = 2025-10-16T09:03Z
Solar Orbiter = 2025-10-14T13:48Z
STEREO A = 2025-10-16T22:00Z

All directly linked activities:
2025-10-12T14:53:00-CME-001


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